![]() ![]() Twelve hurricanes is the most the team has ever predicted in its August forecast. La Niñas often increase hurricane numbers in the Atlantic. In fact, conditions are very "La Niña-like" in the Pacific Ocean, Klotzbach said. Hurricane season off to a historically fast start: What does that mean for the rest of the year?įinally, as if we needed another reason, there's no sign of an El Niño, which tends to suppress Atlantic hurricane activity. "More robust easterly waves and more conducive upper-level winds for hurricanes in the tropical Atlantic are typically associated with an active monsoon." Easterly waves are the small weather disturbances that eject off Africa, which can develop into hurricanes. The reasons? Sea surface temperatures across the tropical Atlantic are much warmer than normal, and warmer water means more fuel for storms, Klotzbach said.Īlso, shearing winds in the Atlantic are very weak, researchers said, which aids in hurricane development and intensification.Īnother reason for the extremely active Atlantic hurricane seasonal forecast is the result of a very active West African monsoon, Klotzbach said. An average season has 12 tropical storms, six of which are hurricanes. Of those, researchers expect 12 to become hurricanes (including the two that have already formed, Hanna and Isaias).Ī tropical storm becomes a hurricane when its sustained winds reach 74 mph. That includes the nine named storms that have already formed: Arthur, Bertha, Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard, Fay, Gonzalo, Hanna and Isaias. In all, Klotzbach and his Colorado State University forecast team predicts 24 named storms in 2020. "We have increased our forecast and now call for an extremely active 2020 Atlantic hurricane season," meteorologist Phil Klotzbach said. We ain't seen nothing yet: The ravages of Hurricanes Hanna and Isaias are just a prelude to the main act to come, top forecasters said Wednesday, with 10 more hurricanes likely to follow. A tropical storm becomes a hurricane when its sustained winds reach 74 mph.The forecasters say this year's hurricane season will be about 190% of the average season.The Colorado State University forecast team predicts a total of 24 named storms in 2020. ![]()
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